ExtremeTilt Leader Board Update
Hey Guys,
I'm away all of next week but I wanted to update the leader board before I left. We are missing four days of tournaments right now but I will be getting them in the middle of next week.
My bad MTT run continues ... it's perhaps the longest poor run I've had in 18 months (tecs, satellites, and sngs are good however). When I look at my stats, I had an excellent June but July and August have been sucko (although my live play wins were my biggest ever and obviously that made July a big month overall). What's interesting is that, accept for the past few days, I have been much more successful building a stack early, something that use to be a problem. I haven't had much time to go thru my hand histories with PXF taking so much effort but it's something I need to do. I know that part of the run has been a very high number of bad beats ... seems like everyone hits trips vs. my aces and kings lately.
The UB Aruba tournament doesn't really fit into my schedule (three kids in school) and even though I won two entries into their $1000 tournament, I cashed those out. Right now I have almost 3000 tournament dollars and a ton of Tecs. So I'm kind of thinking I'm just running bad in MTTs for some reason. We'll see. I'll probably play some smaller Aruba tournaments and see what happens.
Good luck this weekend in the majors!
mindwise
4 Comments:
SOOOO RIGGED
obv MW knows i have two final tables. one on 8/10 and one last night. Just so happens that those are the days not included in the tallies. Sooooooooooooooooooo Rigggggggggggggggggged
:)
Potroast
Since I cracked your big overpair with a flopped set twice in recent weeks, I'll give you some feedback. You overvalue an overpair after the flop. You don't want to go broke with a big M and just and overpair.
On the flipside, it is often worth it to call an early raiser in position with a low to medium pair solely for the 7.5 to 1 odds of hitting the set. This is especially true against players who fall in love with the high overpairs. When I'm calling your early raise with 66 my biggest hope is that you have aa or kk. I will then stack you with a flop of rags (that hit my hand). The +ev is outstanding. When you're making an early raise I know you have something good. When you then bet on the flop and I come over the top, what do you think I have and what do you think that I think you have? You have to seriously consider putting me on a set or 2pr. While a smaller overpair or tptk is possible, do I really want to risk my tournament while I still have a big M when I really don't know where I stand (after all you did make an early raise pre-flop).
When the Ms get lower try to make your early raise with big pairs large enough that it is not profitable to draw to the set. (>1/8 of your stack or >1/8 of the remaining stacks yet to act). If people are calling to the set when your stack or their stack are not large enough to justify the 7.5 to 1 odds, then the play is +ev for you in the long run. If you look back at the cracked big pairs against me, we both had deep stacks at the time that justified the draw to a set.
The other option is to just chalk it up to being "unlucky".
RagnarPirate
Hey RP,
Yes I understand this. It is very true I've been trying to hide the big pair better with a standard raise and it resulted in a bad run. For example, I've had people tell me they absolutely know I have AA because I raised extra -- and even though I pushed hard preflop, the called with their small pair to try and bust me. They didn't care about it being 8 to 1 to call. So I'm trying different things. Plus, how many times have you won in those situations with AA vs KK, QQ, JJ on a flop of 2 4 9.
Do you lay down AA easily if someone check raises you on the flop?
good points. what I'm saying though, is that aa or kk is a great starting hand, but not a "big hand" after the flop when you still have a big M. Another way to play it is to keep it relatively small and not get all-in on the flop. The key point is that against the hands that you can beat (lower overpair or tptk) you're going to make money when they bet into you, but you're unlikely to get stacked by the set. With the aa vs kk post flop with a rag board he is 20:1 to improve on the turn (you don't need to protect against the draw). You can consider calling his flop reraise and check-call to the end.
Obviously, different opponents are playing at different skill levels and styles so the optimal play will vary accordingly.
RagnarPirate
Post a Comment
<< Home