Play this hand with me...
Last night in the $100 7:40pm tournament I was doing great. I believe I was in 7th place with 80 to go (top 20 paying). I have 9500 chips and got involved in a hand with a good player who has 5200 and of course lose it. Looking at the hand now I think I made the right play but the question is this: is it better to just keep your lead and find a better spot?
First let's talk about my read when he re-raises huge after the flop and how confident am I of that read. I thought a long time before re-raising him all-in. The thing is this: he had a tell (a pretty common one) and unless he knew how to do a false tell, I was 90% sure he had AK or two spades for a flush draw -- but I really didn't think he had the flush draw (I think because a flush draw normally checks and calls after the flop, or goes all-in on that flop -- he checked, re-raised).
So I was very confident I'm better but I know he has outs. Is it better just to avoid this hand or slow down (check the flop) and continue to build my big stack later? This hand hurt me chipwise and although I had chips after it, I let it affect my play.
Looking at it now, it seems like this is the right play but I'm not sure. Thoughts?
4 Comments:
I played it out in my mind (excuse the pun) identically. He would not have checked the flop if had QQ, KK, or AA. I think perhaps he read your pot bet as a steal since he checked in front of you showing weakness. Then, he raises huge thinking you'll lay it down and can't get away from it once you get it all-in.
I think you played it solid. Just unlucky.
I do not think it was a bad play. I think though, that a great deal of the time you are going to be beat by a higher pp, who decided to check it. a read by a Q or A K i guess depends on how long you have played with him. i think there was a better time to put your $ in the pot and while in the end you were beating him eh i dunno. if i did not know the player and his ways, if he does have AK or AQ, 23 percent chance he wins on turn or river. but then i think there is a 50 percent chance you are beat so overall id say you win 27 percent of the time. up to you to take those odds but most of the time i lay that down. ( i think most players or decent players might check that flop praying for that bet. ) just my two cents.
Hey Mindwise.
I think you played the hand just fine. By betting largely on the flop, you protected your hand from draws, and your read on him was perfect. I understand he got lucky and won the hand, but you got your money in great. He was less than 25 percent to win. With those odds post flop, Id risk my chipstack any day. And I think slowing down would be a bad idea. If any A,K,Q or spade comes out and he bet, you might have to fold, better hand or not.
-miko
You played it correctly. A different yet extremely risky way to have played if you felt he def had ak or aq would be to theck the flop and let him bet, and u put him in all in. This is a horrible play if hes capable of checking, but sounds like he wouldnt. I think he folds to you then.
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